The study, published Feb. 6, analyzes current and future physician job surplus and shortage trends throughout the U.S. from 2017 to 2030. It used projected changes in age and population size, then the authors created demand and supply models to predict physician shortages in 50 states.
Ten states predicted to have the greatest shortages of physicians by 2030:
1. California — 32,669
2. Florida — 21,978
3. Texas — 20,420
4. Arizona — 8,280
5. Georgia — 8,012
6. North Carolina — 7,725
7. Illinois — 6,203
8. Washington — 6,037
9. Tennessee — 5,989
10. Louisiana — 4,820
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